Hover over confidence percentages marked with * to see prediction reasoning.
Infrastructure Factors
North Ladder
Direct routing to East River Tunnels via Interlocking JO (Tracks 19-21 boosted)
South Ladder
Less direct routing for long-distance electrics (Tracks 13-16 penalized)
Track Occupied
A confirmed train is on this track - nearly eliminated (95% penalty)
Platform Conflict
Adjacent track on same island platform is occupied (40% penalty)
Ladder Conflict
Another train using same outbound routing path (20-30% penalty)
Service Type
Diesel Territory
Locomotive-hauled train (DM30AC/C3) - Tracks 17/18 preferred
Ambiguous Terminal
Destination could be electric (EMU) or diesel - lower confidence
Historical Match
Same train number recently confirmed on this track
About Confidence Percentages:
Percentages represent the relative probability among track options based on infrastructure rules,
historical patterns, and real-time conflicts. Current calibration shows predictions are
conservative - actual accuracy typically exceeds stated confidence.
A 45% prediction means "most likely option among 10 tracks" not "45% chance of being correct."